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    IU football game day: Indiana at Maryland primer and prediction

    Mike SchumannBy IU Football 4 Comments

    Indiana will play a true road game for the first time this season as Big Ten play resumes.

    Waiting for the Hoosiers is a solid Maryland team with a red hot quarterback who has rewritten the program record books.

    This game has been pivotal since Maryland joined the Big Ten in 2014.  In four of the last five seasons in which IU beat Maryland, the Hoosiers went on to play in bowl game.  Indiana won its last true road game — at Michigan State last November.  But it will take a monumental effort from the Hoosiers to escape College Park with a win on Saturday afternoon.

    Here’s everything you need to know about IU’s week five matchup against the Terrapins.

    INDIANA (2-2) at MARYLAND (4-0)

    • Kickoff:  3:30 p.m. Eastern, Saturday
    • Location:  SECU Stadium (51,802), College Park, Md.
    • Television: BTN — Connor Onion (pbp), Matt Millen (analyst), Elise Menaker (sideline)
    • Stream:  Fox Sports
    • Radio:  IU Football radio network
    • Odds:  Maryland is a 14.5-point favorite
    • Weather at kickoff:  72 degrees, mostly cloudy, wind 7 mph, 1% chance of precipitation.
    • Series:  Indiana leads 7-4
    • The Coaches:
      • Tom Allen is in his seventh year as the head coach at IU.  He holds a 32-42 record.
      • Mike Locksley is in his ninth career season and sixth at Maryland.  He has a 27-54 record overall, and he’s 25-28 at Maryland.

    IU Football Week Four Coverage:

    TALE OF THE TAPE

    THE COMPLETE BIG TEN WEEK FIVE SLATE

    Saturday, September 30, 2023 Football
    Away Home Time Location Links
    Louisiana-Lafayette
    Minnesota
    TBA
    		 Huntington Bank Stadium TV: BTN Stats Radio: Gopher Radio Network Video
    Penn State
    Northwestern
    12:00 P.M.
    		 Evanston, IL  TV: BTN Stats Radio: WGN Radio 720 Video
    Michigan
    Nebraska
    3:30 P.M.
    		 Lincoln, Neb.  TV: Fox Stats Video
    Illinois
    Purdue
    3:30 P.M.
    		 West Lafayette, Ind.  TV: Peacock Stats Radio: WAZY (96.5 FM) Video
    Wagner
    Rutgers
    3:30 P.M.
    		 Piscataway, N.J. TV: Big Ten Network Stats Radio: WFAN 660-AM/101.9-FM, FOX Sports New Jersey 93.5-FM/1450-AM, SiriusXM 113 or 196, SXM app, Audacy app, Scarlet Knights app Video
    Indiana
    Maryland
    3:30 P.M.
    		 College Park, MD  Stats Radio: Maryland Sports Radio Network Audio Video
    Michigan State
    Iowa
    7:30 P.M.
    		 Iowa City, Iowa  TV: NBC Stats Radio: Spartan Media Network Video

    MARYLAND RESULTS

    • 2 Sat. TOWSON, W, 38-6
    • 9 Sat. CHARLOTTE, W, 38-20
    • 15 Fri. VIRGINIA, W, 42-14
    • 23 Sat. at Michigan State, W, 31-9

    MARYLAND NOTES

    • The Terps are 4-0 to start the season for the second time in three years, winning each game by 18-plus points. Maryland is one of only three schools in the FBS to be 4-0 and win each game by 18-plus
    • Over the last 19 games played, dating back to 2021, Maryland is 14-5, good for the fourth-best record of any Big Ten school.
    • The Terps have won six games in a row dating back to last season’s game vs. Rutgers (11/26), their longest winning streak since winning seven in a row in 2003-04. The six-game winning streak is currently the ninth longest in all of the FBS and the second-longest in the Big Ten.
    • Maryland currently ranks first in the Big Ten in total offense, averaging 450.5 yards per game and second in scoring offense, averaging 37.2 points per game, passing offense, averaging 283.8 yards per game and third down percentage, converting at a 50-percent rate.
    • QB Taulia Tagovailoa returns for the 2023 season already as one of the most accomplished quarterbacks and players in Maryland history. Tagovailoa stands as Maryland’s record holder in every major career and single-season passing category.
    • Tagovailoa has been the best quarterback in the Big Ten through four games, currently leading the conference in passing yards (1,112), passing TDs (8), total offense (1,165) and points responsible for (62).
    • Tagovailoa’s current career completion percentage (.670 is the fourth-best of any Big Ten quarterback all-time
    • The Maryland defense has been fantastic for the past six games (Rutgers, 11/26/22 – pres.) dating back to last season, only allowing nine points per game. The Terps have only allowed five touchdowns over the last six games. This season, the Terps are allowing only 12.2 points per game, the 11th-best mark in the country. Maryland has forced 11 turnovers, the second-best in the nation while also standing second in the nation in turnover margin (+8).
    • The Maryland defense has been especially good in the second half of games dating back to the beginning of last season, only allowing 128 points in those 17 games for 7.5 per game. This season in four games, the Terps have only allowed 15 points in the second half.
    • Maryland has been one of the best teams in the nation at forcing turnovers through four games, currently standing second in the country in both turnovers gained (11) and turnover margin (+8).
    • On the offensive side of the ball, the Terps have only lost three turnovers, good for 13th in the nation and second in the Big Ten (Penn State – 0). Maryland is one of only 16 schools to not lose a fumble this season and one of only two in the Big Ten (Penn State).
    • Maryland trailed 14-0 in the first quarter of each of the Virginia (9/15) and Charlotte (9/9) games, responding to score 38-straight points against Charlotte (9/9) and then 42-straight points against Virginia (9/15).

    PREDICTIONS

    Indiana needs to start fast in this one, something they haven’t been able to do so far.  Maryland has shown some vulnerability early in games. But however it starts, it’s difficult to see IU coming out on top in the end.

    TDH PREDICTION:  MARYLAND 31  INDIANA 17

    ESPN SP+ (Computer) Maryland 35  Indiana 14

    ESPN FPI (Computer):  Indiana has a 17 percent chance to win

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